Vanga69

0x5846f6...1e8cab

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$71

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.08

Sortino Ratio

6.59

Max Drawdown

27.2%

ROI

18.7%

Profit Factor

2.87

Kelly Fraction

0.391

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

069.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	SELL	94.2¢	62.5	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	3.52	Mar 4
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	78.0¢	74.5	Mar 3
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	12.658	Mar 3
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	8.0¢	62.5	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	18.072	Mar 3
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	27.778	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in March?	BUY	62.0¢	8.065	Feb 27
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	16.66	Feb 26
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	46.512	Feb 26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Feb 26
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?	BUY	64.8¢	15.432	Feb 26
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	16.949	Feb 26
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Feb 26
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Feb 26
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	11.976	Feb 23
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	24.096	Feb 23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	25.641	Feb 23
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Feb 23
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	66.667	Feb 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active69.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)63.5%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor1.81

Drawdown Resilience1.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.47

Weekly Sharpe est.1.12

Trading Activity31 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2272d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue