variableiqking

0x29ea86...40701e

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.4%

Total P&L

-$1.1K

Trade Count

1,044

Sharpe Ratio

1.16

Sortino Ratio

23.38

Max Drawdown

596.2%

ROI

-5.7%

Profit Factor

0.12

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.1¢	196.66	Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.6¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	15.9¢	71.384	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	9.3¢	53.763	Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.6¢	423.96	Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.7¢	565.27	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	74.938	Mar 5
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	78.947	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	43.0¢	16.61	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	42.0¢	47.26	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	33.125	Mar 5
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?	BUY	29.1¢	17.167	Mar 5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	SELL	59.0¢	17.46	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	70.25	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	25.641	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	35.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	35.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	4.0¢	339.51	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.7¢	28.83	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.9%

Win Consistency30.7%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity1,044 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,7141d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue