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VCBDSG45FDDS

0x8184c7...dd6a62
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
67.4%
Total P&L
+$32
Trade Count
419
Sharpe Ratio
-2.00
Sortino Ratio
-1.79
Max Drawdown
17173.6%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
6.67
Kelly Fraction
0.573
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY79.0¢6.329Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL82.0¢8.55Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY97.8¢20.46Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢8.537Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢5.22Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.28Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.3¢5.18Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.4¢5.187Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL70.9¢7.15Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.3Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢9.298Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢7.25Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢13.23Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.4¢7.63Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢7.634Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢14.52Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%10%70–80%8%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%
Win Consistency39.1%
Profit Factor0.63
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity419 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$51410d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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