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VCBNRTH34

0x6a8117...d8261d
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
68.4%
Total P&L
+$22
Trade Count
474
Sharpe Ratio
-1.93
Sortino Ratio
-1.93
Max Drawdown
2251.6%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
3.80
Kelly Fraction
0.504
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢7.187Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.6¢5.22Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.9¢20.02Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.7¢5.225Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢8.23Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢3.673Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢11.905Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.9¢11.11Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.0¢11.111Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢8.24Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.6¢8.27Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢10.22Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.1¢15.23Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.8¢8.264Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.17Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL75.0¢7.14Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢11.47Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢11.475Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%17%50–70%9%70–80%8%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.0%
Win Consistency36.7%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity474 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6048d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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