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VCHNRET43

0x5b0acb...df26f0
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
67.5%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
468
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
1.77
Max Drawdown
798.6%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.04
Kelly Fraction
0.027
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢10.417Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL79.0¢7.15Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢6.46Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢6.459Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢9.23Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢9.221Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.18Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢6.57Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢6.55Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢7.19Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢7.187Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢16.39Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢7.29Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢16.393Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.0¢6.122Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢17.64Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢7.292Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%11%70–80%9%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.6%
Win Consistency48.8%
Profit Factor0.39
Drawdown Resilience0.31
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity468 trades · 40 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$54811d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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