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vcxxcvx20

0x629f57...9df833
Smart Score
57
Win Rate
27.3%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
30
Sharpe Ratio
2.24
Sortino Ratio
7.36
Max Drawdown
35.8%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
4.58
Kelly Fraction
0.213
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.7¢25Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢25Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢23Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢12Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢12Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢6Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢6Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢6Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢17Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢6Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢26Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢40Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢40Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢26Mar 5
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢68Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.7¢80Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.4¢52Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.5¢79Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢25Mar 4
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.7¢68Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.8%
Win Consistency30.0%
Profit Factor1.48
Drawdown Resilience1.19
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19
Weekly Sharpe est.0.91
Trading Activity30 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1022d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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