Vecertoc

0x7a09c1...8bc8e4@joaquinsumajer

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.4%

Total P&L

+$61

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.12

Max Drawdown

83.3%

ROI

1.5%

Profit Factor

9.98

Kelly Fraction

0.822

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	3.684	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	103.254	Mar 3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	95.594	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	94.824	Feb 15
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	BUY	99.9¢	94.734	Feb 9
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	94.634	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	94.539	Jan 31
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	90.271	Jan 27
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	1.63	Jan 21
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.0¢	1.01	Jan 21
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.0¢	1.354	Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	90.09	Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	93.186	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	93.093	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	93.034	Jan 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Dec 31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	84.944	Dec 28
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	BUY	88.5¢	1.13	Dec 20
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	BUY	85.7¢	2.334	Dec 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.2%

Win Consistency67.9%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity65 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2980d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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