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vertbtrn

0x09d4c9...f911f5
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
51.5%
Total P&L
-$1.2K
Trade Count
286
Sharpe Ratio
1.34
Sortino Ratio
7.66
Max Drawdown
173.6%
ROI
-12.6%
Profit Factor
2.02
Kelly Fraction
0.260
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.3¢100Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢100Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL38.6¢70Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY39.5¢70Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.4¢90Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢90Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢100Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢100Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY24.8¢40Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY75.3¢40Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢130Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢130Mar 5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY98.9¢130Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.2¢130Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.4¢80Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.7¢80Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?SELL97.8¢120Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY98.0¢120Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢90Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.8¢90Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%39%< 10%4%10–20%4%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%40%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.0%
Win Consistency46.7%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity286 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,1160d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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