vinosyd

0x53f4be...f983df

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.9%

Total P&L

-$551

Trade Count

187

Sharpe Ratio

1.43

Sortino Ratio

17.09

Max Drawdown

342.8%

ROI

-10.3%

Profit Factor

0.30

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	53.8¢	98.374	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	BUY	19.6¢	254.51	Mar 5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	10.6¢	971.21	Mar 5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	10.7¢	971.215	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	SELL	46.2¢	224.95	Mar 5
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	SELL	42.0¢	15.2	Mar 4
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	SELL	81.0¢	72.44	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	112.35	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	SELL	81.0¢	191.92	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	67.0¢	75.14	Mar 4
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	BUY	43.0¢	15.209	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	SELL	35.0¢	2.59	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	75.149	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	BUY	90.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	1.6¢	319.395	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	95.8¢	65.08	Mar 4
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	72.442	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	95.7¢	65.07	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.5%

Win Consistency38.3%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity187 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,9063d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue