Vivia4n

0x4c1e94...2d57c8

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

-$35

Trade Count

160

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

160.0%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

-0.03

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	40.522	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	40.44	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	40.44	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	40.44	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	40.44	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	40.44	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	40.44	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	40.56	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	40.561	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	40.56	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	40.56	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.9¢	40.56	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	98.4¢	40.569	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	40	Feb 23
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	40	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	40.04	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	40.04	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	40.08	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	40.08	Feb 20
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	40.24	Feb 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.6%

Win Consistency70.3%

Profit Factor0.13

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity160 trades · 86 active days

P&L Calendar

$1198d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue