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VMRG54J

0x4bd7c6...5ad0c0
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
70.4%
Total P&L
+$33
Trade Count
439
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Sortino Ratio
-0.53
Max Drawdown
1144.5%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
2.59
Kelly Fraction
0.432
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.1¢19.172Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢9.62Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.27Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢6.18Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢9.21Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL83.5¢9.54Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY83.8¢9.547Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.3¢8.28Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.6¢8.282Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.9¢8.089Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL52.0¢9.8Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.8¢6.012Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.1¢5.14Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY97.2¢5.144Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢3.1Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.263Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢9.375Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢14.92Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY67.0¢14.925Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%10%70–80%7%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency38.6%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity439 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5959d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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