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vrebt

0x040222...8e383f
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
81.5%
Total P&L
+$3.3K
Trade Count
246
Sharpe Ratio
1.27
Sortino Ratio
21.83
Max Drawdown
2671.3%
ROI
38.9%
Profit Factor
11.66
Kelly Fraction
0.745
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.4¢130Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.7¢130Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.6¢50Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢50Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.9¢110Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.2¢110Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL5.2¢30Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.4¢30Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢110Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢110Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY98.9¢100Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY1.2¢100Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.5¢80Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.6¢80Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.6¢130Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.5¢130Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY98.4¢60Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY1.7¢60Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY3.3¢120Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢120Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%41%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%41%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.1%
Win Consistency44.1%
Profit Factor1.43
Drawdown Resilience1.16
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16
Weekly Sharpe est.0.88
Trading Activity246 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,8330d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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