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vtrebtr

0x4d1173...304c4f
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
80.6%
Total P&L
+$512
Trade Count
262
Sharpe Ratio
1.38
Sortino Ratio
12.31
Max Drawdown
1750.5%
ROI
5.4%
Profit Factor
56.38
Kelly Fraction
0.791
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY97.0¢110Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY3.1¢110Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢90Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.2¢90Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL97.3¢60Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.5¢60Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢100Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢100Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.6¢60Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY97.0¢60Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY1.1¢100Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY99.0¢100Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢80Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.6¢80Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢30Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢30Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY1.9¢110Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.2¢110Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY27.1¢120Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY73.0¢120Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%40%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.8%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor1.34
Drawdown Resilience1.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82
Trading Activity262 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,3560d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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