Accrue
Log inGet Access
W1nnter

W1nnter

0x02fe3e...895af0
Smart Score
69
Win Rate
32.1%
Total P&L
+$32
Trade Count
95
Sharpe Ratio
4.29
Sortino Ratio
9.48
Max Drawdown
45.8%
ROI
9.6%
Profit Factor
11.41
Kelly Fraction
0.293
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
068.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY12.5¢32Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY3.2¢13.29Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.6¢7.944Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.6¢21.156Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY3.2¢31.94Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.6¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.6¢3.854Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.6¢10Mar 5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL10.0¢20Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL91.0¢15.9Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL76.0¢10Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY58.0¢25.9Mar 4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY25.0¢20Mar 4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?SELL27.0¢15Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?SELL60.0¢20Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?SELL48.0¢15Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?BUY12.0¢20Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY20.0¢30Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL29.0¢6Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL24.0¢8Mar 3

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%23%< 10%9%10–20%48%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active68.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.77
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.3%
Win Consistency62.1%
Profit Factor1.78
Drawdown Resilience1.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.44
Weekly Sharpe est.1.10
Trading Activity95 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$215d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics