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walletin1

0x2b32a8...76e457
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
-$1
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
5.51
Sortino Ratio
16.70
Max Drawdown
6.9%
ROI
-6.6%
Profit Factor
0.05
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL38.0¢10.25Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢2.564Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢2.564Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢2.564Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢2.564Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY63.0¢1.587Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY93.0¢1.075Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?SELL59.8¢1.62Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY61.4¢1.629Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%10–20%20–30%24%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.9%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.22
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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