Warrenfoot

0x6b5fc1...4fef57
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
69.9%
Total P&L
+$666
Trade Count
551
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
0.42
Max Drawdown
2036.2%
ROI
6.4%
Profit Factor
2.87
Kelly Fraction
0.456
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY61.0¢32.787Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY29.0¢3.48Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY29.0¢1.408Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY29.0¢1.408Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY29.0¢3.845Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY29.0¢24.845Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?SELL89.0¢50Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY90.0¢85Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY65.0¢55Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY65.0¢5Mar 4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?BUY48.0¢9.615Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY45.1¢20Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY12.6¢90Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY12.6¢16Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY12.6¢10Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY47.0¢50Mar 4
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?BUY48.0¢11.538Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL95.0¢50Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY67.7¢103.456Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL37.8¢80Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%5%10–20%11%20–30%24%30–50%16%50–70%15%70–80%16%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%
Win Consistency59.1%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity551 trades · 62 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,27624d profit38d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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