Waterfall

0x63850c...8093f2@911Waterfall

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.9%

Total P&L

-$296

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.72

Sortino Ratio

4.32

Max Drawdown

582.5%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.99

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	27.542	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	4.847	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	29.81	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	BUY	28.0¢	9	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	SELL	35.0¢	17.1	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	17.1	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	575.99	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	720.37	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	17	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	375.049	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	740.002	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	20.4	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%

Win Consistency57.0%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity998 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$127,4381d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue