waterfull

0x80cc5c...a04b76

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.2%

Total P&L

+$63

Trade Count

162

Sharpe Ratio

0.58

Sortino Ratio

15.18

Max Drawdown

1320.7%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

1.18

Kelly Fraction

0.084

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	BUY	94.0¢	42.553	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea	BUY	83.0¢	12.048	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan	BUY	14.5¢	68.776	Mar 4
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei	BUY	72.0¢	13.889	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	BUY	77.9¢	25.664	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	BUY	80.0¢	25.009	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	BUY	80.9¢	18.534	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	BUY	57.0¢	17.544	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	55.556	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	46.98	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	BUY	63.0¢	47.632	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	79.0¢	18.987	Mar 3
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	54.0¢	89.28	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	75.6¢	26.458	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BUY	55.4¢	18.057	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BUY	65.0¢	15.385	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	BUY	93.0¢	32.258	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BUY	87.0¢	11.494	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	40.816	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BUY	64.0¢	15.625	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%

Win Consistency28.3%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity162 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0963d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue