wcortez

0x9d0e51...ded1a8

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.6%

Total P&L

+$256

Trade Count

105

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.07

Max Drawdown

254.4%

ROI

2.8%

Profit Factor

2.36

Kelly Fraction

0.470

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	428.707	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	4.599	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	177.357	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	163.313	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	72.352	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	116.142	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	474.388	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	115.215	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	323.619	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	306.62	Feb 11
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Jan 30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.2¢	17.51	Jan 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	289.249	Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	3.6¢	182.778	Jan 19
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	255.587	Jan 18
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	77.567	Dec 29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	98.5¢	167.584	Dec 27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	98.8¢	2.034	Dec 25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?	BUY	98.8¢	179.899	Dec 22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	97.1¢	337.24	Dec 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.6%

Win Consistency62.8%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity77 trades · 67 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,64513d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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