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wenmang

0x280b27...43d619
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
24.0%
Total P&L
-$17
Trade Count
32
Sharpe Ratio
2.39
Sortino Ratio
56.04
Max Drawdown
92.5%
ROI
-22.8%
Profit Factor
0.56
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY40.6¢12.318Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?BUY22.0¢22.727Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 6?BUY35.5¢14.102Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?BUY38.0¢2.632Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?BUY16.3¢6.135Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY25.3¢3.953Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?BUY42.0¢2.381Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY4.5¢22.391Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY26.8¢7.463Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.1¢14.184Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY34.8¢5.747Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSELL1.0¢4.13Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY24.0¢4.167Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY44.9¢22.272Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY43.7¢22.883Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY67.0¢2.985Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%14%10–20%14%20–30%46%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%
Win Consistency35.7%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity32 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$631d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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