weran

0x7bcba2...18669e

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

-$18

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.89

Sortino Ratio

-1.51

Max Drawdown

2127.2%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.653

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	85.3¢	14.05	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	85.4¢	14.052	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	17.017	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.5¢	1,024.09	Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	20.08	Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	1,004.016	Feb 28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	SELL	99.8¢	1,051.05	Feb 28
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	SELL	99.6¢	13.03	Feb 28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	BUY	99.9¢	1,051.051	Feb 28
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	1,023.3	Feb 28
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	111.449	Feb 28
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	911.854	Feb 28
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	99.7¢	13.039	Feb 28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.5¢	1,029.41	Feb 28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.6¢	1,029.412	Feb 28
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	500.5	Feb 28
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	98.0¢	509.68	Feb 28
Discord IPO before 2027?	SELL	88.1¢	14.72	Feb 28
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	500.5	Feb 28
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	98.1¢	509.684	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity49 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$620d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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