werejustgambling

0x1f032e...566540

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.8%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

5.03

Sortino Ratio

292.01

Max Drawdown

33.9%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

1.18

Kelly Fraction

0.068

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

062.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	99.5¢	110.534	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	SELL	98.0¢	110.91	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	BUY	90.0¢	111.142	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	102.03	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	102.041	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	BUY	7.0¢	71.429	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	SELL	99.8¢	106.35	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	BUY	92.0¢	106.352	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	SELL	66.0¢	16.42	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	BUY	7.0¢	142.857	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	18.93	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	52.0¢	19.231	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BUY	9.0¢	55.556	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	BUY	4.0¢	50	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	BUY	7.0¢	14.28	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active62.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.1%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor1.63

Drawdown Resilience1.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.32

Weekly Sharpe est.1.00

Trading Activity27 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$1171d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue