whitegeek

0x11d80f...bfade3

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.2%

Total P&L

-$177

Trade Count

1,269

Sharpe Ratio

0.69

Sortino Ratio

77.71

Max Drawdown

27.3%

ROI

-9.4%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	0.6¢	1.006	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	0.6¢	1.006	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 6?	SELL	0.5¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 6?	BUY	0.5¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	2.2¢	10.225	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	1.0¢	13.98	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?	BUY	82.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on March 5?	BUY	0.2¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?	SELL	1.2¢	4.7	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?	SELL	0.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	1.0¢	1.01	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?	BUY	0.6¢	15	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.7%

Win Consistency55.4%

Profit Factor1.25

Drawdown Resilience1.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity1,269 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0543d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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