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whosatoshik

0x87fe35...18875b
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
48.7%
Total P&L
+$607
Trade Count
3,068
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Sortino Ratio
0.81
Max Drawdown
1083.7%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.52
Kelly Fraction
0.167
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 90 and 100?SELL99.3¢6.4Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL89.0¢12.94Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL2.5¢384.62Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL22.1¢9.54Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL21.8¢46.19Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY21.5¢7.643Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY1.0¢55Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY2.4¢384.62Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY1.0¢909.09Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL20.9¢48.19Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL20.1¢50Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY1.0¢669.81Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY19.8¢50Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY19.1¢4.57Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL19.4¢51.81Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY19.1¢6.7Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY19.1¢18.54Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY19.1¢22Mar 5
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL89.0¢5.22Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY20.5¢31.79Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%50%< 10%20%10–20%11%20–30%8%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%
Win Consistency46.5%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity3,068 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,8313d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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