WhoseHouseRamsHouse

0x382518...5504e8

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.9%

Total P&L

-$57.4K

Trade Count

3,991

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

0.57

Max Drawdown

57.1%

ROI

-13.4%

Profit Factor

0.36

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	44,900	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.6¢	45,100	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	8.58	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	4.545	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	32,287.41	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	2,000	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	5,500	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	1,112.59	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	20	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	4,667.68	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	5,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	17.5	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	5,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	2,680	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1,960	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	16,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	3,474.82	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.9%

Win Consistency81.2%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity3,991 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$365,6532d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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