wille

0x93a60e...905daa

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.8%

Total P&L

-$87

Trade Count

224

Sharpe Ratio

0.12

Sortino Ratio

0.28

Max Drawdown

821.1%

ROI

-0.8%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.8¢	289.04	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.8¢	1.74	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.8¢	9.22	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	2,799	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	1,008	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	600	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	126	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	4,533	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.0¢	30.02	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	7.68	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	15.83	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	5	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.6¢	30	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	1.603	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	32.051	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	7.829	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.4¢	5	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.5¢	10	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.5¢	65	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	62.3¢	4.1	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.9%

Win Consistency43.9%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity206 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$5092d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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