Willis1SFGHRTH

0x4960aa...2d2e33

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.1%

Total P&L

+$20

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.73

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

200.0%

ROI

16.9%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.266

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	3.54	Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	3.542	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Jan 25
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.5¢	2,340	Jan 19
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.6¢	2,340	Jan 17
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 26
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8	Nov 26
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	1.5	Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5.5	Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 24
XRP Up or Down - November 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8	Nov 11
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 11
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Nov 7
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5	Nov 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.6%

Win Consistency4.3%

Profit Factor0.19

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity32 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$801d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue