wintwljr

0x39d125...8c9075
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
80.4%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
432
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66
Sortino Ratio
-0.55
Max Drawdown
981.9%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
2.18
Kelly Fraction
0.436
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
017.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL97.0¢37.7Mar 5
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY97.2¢37.7Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL96.1¢43.34Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY96.4¢43.34Mar 4
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL96.3¢35.79Mar 4
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY96.5¢35.79Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL98.7¢43.32Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY97.2¢43.32Mar 3
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.7¢41.4Mar 3
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY94.5¢41.41Mar 3
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL97.1¢46.97Mar 1
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY97.3¢46.97Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL96.5¢48.02Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY96.6¢48.02Mar 1
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL96.6¢40.78Mar 1
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY96.8¢40.77Mar 1
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL93.2¢20.73Mar 1
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL97.3¢25.65Mar 1
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY93.3¢20.74Mar 1
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL97.4¢10Mar 1
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.1%
Win Consistency33.0%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity432 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7715d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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