Wired

0x3dafa3...69e888
Smart Score
68
Win Rate
52.0%
Total P&L
+$53.0K
Trade Count
909
Sharpe Ratio
1.11
Sortino Ratio
68.22
Max Drawdown
47.1%
ROI
51.5%
Profit Factor
3.86
Kelly Fraction
0.386
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
068/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY94.0¢5.319Feb 12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY91.0¢5.495Feb 12
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?BUY92.0¢2.174Feb 12
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?BUY86.0¢1.163Feb 12
Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?BUY77.5¢1.29Feb 12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY94.9¢2.107Feb 12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?BUY99.5¢2.01Feb 12
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?BUY99.5¢5.025Feb 12
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?BUY99.6¢10.04Feb 12
Will Merel Conijn (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY90.0¢50Feb 12
Will Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY30.0¢15Feb 12
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY98.1¢5.097Feb 12
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY95.7¢5.225Feb 12
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢7,662.94Feb 3
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢1,000Feb 3
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢1,000Feb 3
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢400Feb 2
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢400Feb 2
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢1,000Feb 2
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1¢1,000Feb 1
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%32%< 10%20%10–20%20–30%33%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active68

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)61.9%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.77
Drawdown Resilience1.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.43
Weekly Sharpe est.1.09
Trading Activity909 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$65,53010d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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