wmdr

0x8e8b47...ba7a69

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

159

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

1.25

Max Drawdown

501.1%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	19.608	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	9.68	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	9.688	Mar 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	7.04	Mar 4
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	10.04	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	6.12	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	7.049	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	6.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	6.012	Mar 4
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	10.04	Mar 4
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	73.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	9.06	Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.0¢	7.07	Mar 4
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	9.063	Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.4%

Win Consistency44.8%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity159 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$1209d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue