wn5hxva4

0x0e9b92...0a5b45

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.4%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

455

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-0.58

Max Drawdown

15762599000000000.0%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

5.34

Kelly Fraction

0.702

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	36.5	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	36.5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	SELL	95.1¢	46.78	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	94.9¢	46.78	Mar 4
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	95.2¢	40.22	Mar 4
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	95.9¢	40.23	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	97.6¢	42.93	Mar 3
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	97.7¢	42.93	Mar 3
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.5¢	39.14	Mar 3
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.8¢	39.14	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.4¢	39.07	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.7¢	39.07	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	97.2¢	44.74	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.3¢	44.74	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	93.3¢	48.26	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	93.4¢	48.26	Mar 2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.4¢	37.63	Mar 2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.6¢	37.63	Mar 2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	92.6¢	43.32	Mar 2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	92.8¢	43.32	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.9%

Win Consistency37.7%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity455 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$1214d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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