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writtensmoke

0x5f1d2d...a6c41d
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
38.6%
Total P&L
+$697
Trade Count
315
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28
Sortino Ratio
-0.92
Max Drawdown
743.9%
ROI
7.3%
Profit Factor
1.37
Kelly Fraction
0.105
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY22.2¢90.089Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?BUY55.8¢89.623Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?BUY35.7¢56.065Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?BUY32.5¢92.178Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?BUY71.4¢140.098Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 27?BUY91.0¢109.89Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?BUY34.7¢86.563Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on February 27?BUY29.2¢119.796Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?BUY6.5¢92.728Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 26?SELL99.9¢105.73Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?BUY20.7¢168.693Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 26?BUY94.6¢105.736Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?BUY78.0¢128.164Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?BUY75.9¢131.688Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?BUY22.3¢134.522Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?SELL99.6¢211.22Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?SELL99.9¢143.03Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?BUY69.9¢143.036Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?BUY16.6¢211.222Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?BUY76.9¢130.007Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%14%10–20%11%20–30%17%30–50%18%50–70%9%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.8%
Win Consistency31.5%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity315 trades · 75 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$55624d profit51d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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