wusongdahu

0x8f7f2e...15e27f@pypxp45544961

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.6%

Total P&L

-$15

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.61

Sortino Ratio

2.28

Max Drawdown

74.3%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	72.072	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 1?	BUY	99.8¢	72.144	Mar 1
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	72.072	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	2.004	Feb 13
Will a dozen eggs cost >$4.00 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Feb 9
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	44.132	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	71.142	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?	BUY	5.2¢	100.192	Feb 3
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	900	Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	55.444	Jan 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.4¢	16.26	Jan 23
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	48.144	Jan 23
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?	BUY	93.0¢	6.452	Jan 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 16?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Jan 11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 6?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Jan 6
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 2?	BUY	99.9¢	77.077	Jan 1
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?	BUY	0.9¢	108.312	Dec 29
Capitals vs. Panthers	BUY	46.0¢	20	Dec 29
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	87.087	Dec 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.99

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.9%

Win Consistency30.6%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity49 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1390d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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