x0000

0x2616d3...798d3c

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.2%

Total P&L

-$46.1K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

3.82

Max Drawdown

22600.0%

ROI

-6.8%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	74.0¢	3.846	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	74.0¢	96.768	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	1,712.8	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	57.6	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	20.595	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	BUY	39.0¢	136.67	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	41.0¢	999.94	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	BUY	63.0¢	80	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	99.0¢	9,994.89	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	99.0¢	10,000	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	BUY	51.0¢	10.059	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	1.33	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	15.254	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	11.864	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	16.949	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	11.864	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	8.475	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	1.695	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.6%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity998 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$496,7096d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue