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x0Paulie

x0Paulie

0x42a0c6...563762
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
35.6%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
2,826
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
4.39
Max Drawdown
148.3%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.23
Kelly Fraction
0.066
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY79.7¢125.526Mar 5
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?SELL1.4¢30.07Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?SELL25.0¢49.47Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?SELL25.0¢0.53Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?SELL25.0¢50Mar 5
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?BUY96.0¢2.85Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?SELL11.0¢100Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?SELL43.1¢71.53Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY64.0¢20Mar 4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY45.4¢15Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?BUY12.0¢50Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?BUY16.0¢150Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY62.0¢14.54Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY85.0¢50Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY66.0¢10Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY75.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETSELL98.5¢60Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY44.0¢60Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY58.0¢100Mar 4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?BUY60.0¢150Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%10%10–20%8%20–30%12%30–50%13%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.3%
Win Consistency47.3%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity2,826 trades · 155 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,99835d profit118d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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