xcgbh

0x6c4137...4383da
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
78.7%
Total P&L
-$23
Trade Count
89
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Sortino Ratio
0.57
Max Drawdown
5.5%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
0.42
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY92.7¢13.161Mar 5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?SELL96.1¢14.37Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?BUY99.9¢15.375Feb 23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?BUY93.9¢14.377Feb 23
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.5¢32.36Feb 23
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.5¢32.362Feb 19
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢1,528.75Feb 19
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?BUY99.8¢26.052Feb 14
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,528.759Feb 14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.2¢1,558.35Feb 14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢1,558.35Feb 13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBUY84.0¢4.167Feb 13
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY99.9¢15.816Feb 13
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.2¢1,520.2Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?BUY99.4¢14.286Feb 11
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.0¢1,520.202Feb 11
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL99.8¢1,536Feb 11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?SELL99.8¢26.8Feb 8
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?BUY99.8¢13.226Feb 8
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY99.9¢1,536Feb 8
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%87%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.4%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity89 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$44622d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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