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0x776c4f...3e65d7
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
94.1%
Total P&L
+$45
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40
Sortino Ratio
-0.33
Max Drawdown
160.7%
ROI
1.3%
Profit Factor
1622.34
Kelly Fraction
0.941
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
032.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY98.4¢56.911Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢745Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 4?BUY99.8¢80.16Mar 3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢745Mar 3
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢625Feb 28
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢625Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY99.8¢25.05Feb 18
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?BUY99.9¢18.018Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on February 17?BUY99.8¢24.051Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on February 16?BUY99.9¢11.011Feb 16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?BUY99.6¢17.069Feb 6
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY99.6¢22.088Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or below on February 3?BUY99.9¢18.018Feb 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 42°C on February 3?BUY99.9¢12.012Feb 2
Lakers vs. CavaliersBUY59.0¢110.169Jan 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?BUY99.9¢12.012Jan 22
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?BUY99.7¢11.033Jan 22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 35°F or below on January 20?BUY99.9¢73.073Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 35°F or below on January 20?BUY99.9¢73.073Jan 19
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?BUY99.9¢20.02Jan 13
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%95%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.4%
Win Consistency47.4%
Profit Factor0.84
Drawdown Resilience0.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity24 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6052d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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