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xieyifu3974

0x227b22...81fbb1
Smart Score
65
Win Rate
89.3%
Total P&L
+$118
Trade Count
129
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
0.87
Max Drawdown
33.1%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
102.59
Kelly Fraction
0.884
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
064.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?BUY95.7¢2.717Mar 5
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?BUY98.0¢3.765Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?BUY99.7¢2.447Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL53.0¢2.91Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY92.5¢2.919Jan 22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY97.5¢3.908Jan 22
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢1.278Jan 22
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY99.3¢1.027Dec 21
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?BUY97.5¢1.067Dec 21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY96.0¢1.146Dec 21
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?BUY95.0¢2Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY98.0¢1.429Nov 12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?BUY95.9¢1.564Nov 12
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY98.9¢1.112Sep 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 26?BUY99.9¢1.101Sep 25
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?BUY99.8¢9.82Sep 25
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 4?BUY99.6¢5.221Aug 3
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?BUY94.0¢3.723Aug 3
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?SELL76.0¢10,552.17May 3
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?SELL76.0¢2.487May 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%59%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%33%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active64.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.0%
Win Consistency71.4%
Profit Factor1.68
Drawdown Resilience1.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.36
Weekly Sharpe est.1.04
Trading Activity41 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$361d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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