XijinpingLovesPutin

0x450eb6...0380ae

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.7%

Total P&L

+$2.6K

Trade Count

3,359

Sharpe Ratio

1.70

Sortino Ratio

16.00

Max Drawdown

110.0%

ROI

12.7%

Profit Factor

2.96

Kelly Fraction

0.336

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	13.0¢	8.06	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	13.9¢	8.06	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	SELL	6.0¢	25	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	58.95	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	58.95	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	16.9¢	58.95	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	36.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	5	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	5.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	20	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	9.21	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	9.21	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	5.95	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	5.95	Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?	BUY	77.0¢	4	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.2%

Win Consistency59.2%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity3,359 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4839d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue