Xitou

0x7be0f5...13e2ed@starsilver139

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.7%

Total P&L

+$21

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.38

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

591.5%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

2.21

Kelly Fraction

0.480

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	2.502	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	95.095	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	95.6¢	99.372	Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	95.263	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	94.284	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	94.188	Feb 9
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	BUY	0.2¢	810	Feb 9
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	95.625	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	95.531	Jan 31
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	95.286	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	94.283	Jan 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	94.188	Jan 14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	94.579	Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	94.392	Jan 9
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	BUY	99.4¢	93.581	Jan 5
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	91.693	Dec 31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	95.0¢	91.511	Dec 29
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	SELL	90.8¢	95.47	Dec 29

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.1%

Win Consistency61.6%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity53 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2270d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics