xores63838

0x0700cb...a3267b
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
53.3%
Total P&L
+$74.0K
Trade Count
513
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
0.57
Max Drawdown
698.8%
ROI
40.0%
Profit Factor
63.01
Kelly Fraction
0.525
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY56.1¢7,128.477Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢4,262.93Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢204.38Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢1.46Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢14.599Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢33.33Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢72.993Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢20.438Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢187.869Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢1,944.98Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢916.07Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢29.197Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.5¢3,005.717Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢4,519.35Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢4,878.049Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢48.695Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢6.098Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢3.659Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢53.317Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL82.0¢298.78Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%80%< 10%6%10–20%7%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.5%
Win Consistency53.3%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity513 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$16,6265d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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