xpet1

0x08bff0...1e30b0

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.5%

Total P&L

-$415

Trade Count

389

Sharpe Ratio

0.60

Sortino Ratio

7.57

Max Drawdown

667.3%

ROI

-3.4%

Profit Factor

0.15

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	95.2¢	100	Feb 28
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?	SELL	99.1¢	10	Feb 28
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?	BUY	99.7¢	10	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	35	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	33.0¢	20	Feb 28
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	99.7¢	20	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	26	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	26	Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	65.0¢	10	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	10	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	10	Feb 27
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	5	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	22	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	22	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	15	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	10	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency46.5%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity389 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,3284d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue