Yaelun

0x74c361...5002f4

Smart Score

Win Rate

97.0%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

126

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-0.30

Max Drawdown

302.7%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

3.97

Kelly Fraction

0.726

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	32.212	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.5¢	36.945	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	14.729	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	18.398	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	18.398	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	27.607	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	27.608	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.8¢	18.417	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	18.398	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	27.607	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?	BUY	99.6¢	20.301	Feb 23
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys	BUY	92.0¢	2.967	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	18.398	Feb 21
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers	BUY	99.8¢	3.667	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	27.607	Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	18.417	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	13.808	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	22.992	Feb 18
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	98.7¢	4.64	Feb 18
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	95.0¢	2.884	Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.6%

Win Consistency16.0%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity126 trades · 71 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1571d profit70d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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