yangzigege2

0x353f28...d2fee8

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.2%

Total P&L

-$41

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.36

Max Drawdown

1314.7%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.51

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	90.8¢	11.013	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	27.7¢	5.09	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	5.405	Feb 9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)	BUY	24.0¢	8.333	Dec 28
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	BUY	97.8¢	20	Dec 21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	BUY	98.7¢	19.564	Dec 18
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	98.4¢	19.309	Dec 7
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	95.7¢	18.997	Nov 30
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	94.0¢	13.181	Nov 28
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	BUY	76.0¢	10.395	Nov 19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	SELL	99.9¢	8.91	Nov 19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	BUY	35.0¢	8.914	Nov 19
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?	SELL	92.3¢	9.88	Nov 19
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?	BUY	95.0¢	9.881	Oct 11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?	BUY	92.7¢	5.814	Oct 6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Oct 6
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?	BUY	20.0¢	13	Sep 30
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?	BUY	76.0¢	6.579	Sep 22
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?	BUY	92.0¢	9.72	Apr 13
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times April 4 - 11?	BUY	89.0¢	8.94	Apr 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency70.8%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity22 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$1853d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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