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yappa

yappa

0x2f70f1...5fb854@aisatsana888
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
70.7%
Total P&L
-$1.3K
Trade Count
972
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Sortino Ratio
6.18
Max Drawdown
3865.5%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.89
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY91.0¢416.754Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?SELL99.8¢380Feb 24
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY90.7¢7.012Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY99.8¢380Feb 17
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL75.0¢406.64Feb 16
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL75.0¢1.333Feb 16
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL75.0¢23.773Feb 16
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL75.0¢6.653Feb 16
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL75.0¢13.333Feb 16
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL75.0¢62.4Feb 16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY96.7¢198.459Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?SELL99.7¢803.78Jan 26
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?BUY99.8¢803.788Jan 26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY79.5¢125.77Jan 26
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?BUY99.9¢902.182Jan 19
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?BUY99.7¢191.916Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?BUY99.8¢200.401Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 17?BUY99.9¢700.877Jan 17
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY54.2¢184.545Jan 13
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY24.0¢416.667Jan 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%59%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.1%
Win Consistency50.3%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity972 trades · 85 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$56,76713d profit72d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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