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yeeCharles

0x118198...e29e90
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
51.0%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
246
Sharpe Ratio
0.76
Sortino Ratio
8.52
Max Drawdown
2538.6%
ROI
3.4%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.126
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY78.0¢25.54Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY78.1¢457.66Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY78.0¢260.85Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY75.0¢163Mar 4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY77.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY75.0¢305Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?BUY12.0¢101.51Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?BUY11.0¢100.15Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?BUY10.0¢20.22Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?BUY9.0¢15Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?BUY12.0¢250Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?BUY12.0¢250Mar 4
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?BUY16.0¢284.21Mar 4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY74.0¢59.25Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY73.0¢55.93Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY73.0¢7.407Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY73.0¢16.66Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY66.0¢50Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY69.0¢301Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%31%30–50%12%50–70%18%70–80%15%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.0%
Win Consistency48.1%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity246 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$14,7672d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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