yellowcake123

0x532935...831011

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.6%

Total P&L

+$22

Trade Count

478

Sharpe Ratio

1.01

Sortino Ratio

244.92

Max Drawdown

53.9%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.025

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	3.683	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	83.0¢	1.2	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?	SELL	10.0¢	21.18	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	30.6¢	1.46	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	20.1¢	1.26	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	20.1¢	1.21	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	20.1¢	1.08	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	20.1¢	2.11	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.9¢	11.62	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	83.7¢	2.5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	59.9¢	2.504	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	34.0¢	4.35	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	4.359	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	6.06	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	2.88	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	46.0¢	4.23	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	50.0¢	2.6	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	6.063	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	46.0¢	2.82	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.2%

Win Consistency52.0%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity478 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$7249d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue