YesWhale

0x1aa408...da7fbf

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.1%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.53

Sortino Ratio

54.00

Max Drawdown

10000.0%

ROI

17.2%

Profit Factor

1.98

Kelly Fraction

0.189

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	SELL	96.0¢	1.54	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	1.43	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 4
NATO Article 5 by March 31?	SELL	5.2¢	80	Mar 4
NATO Article 5 by March 31?	BUY	5.0¢	80	Mar 4
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 4
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?	BUY	5.3¢	94.194	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	BUY	0.9¢	222.222	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.3¢	20	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	7.6¢	22.86	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	4.4¢	22.863	Feb 28
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	11.8¢	12.5	Feb 27
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.79

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.6%

Win Consistency26.1%

Profit Factor0.85

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity30 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$73d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue