ygauthie

0x24cf29...f7f3a8
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
75.9%
Total P&L
-$39
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.05
Max Drawdown
14482.9%
ROI
-2.5%
Profit Factor
0.74
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
011.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY55.0¢4.912Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY95.0¢31.579Mar 4
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY37.0¢54.054Mar 4
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL10.5¢500Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY49.0¢8.02Feb 23
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL32.0¢12.29Feb 22
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY55.0¢47.273Feb 22
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL13.0¢200Feb 22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY89.0¢52.742Feb 19
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL41.0¢44.25Feb 19
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL12.0¢240Feb 19
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY36.0¢44.25Feb 15
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL11.9¢133.84Feb 15
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY12.6¢238.962Jan 14
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY15.4¢130.156Jan 14
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY11.1¢451.376Jan 14
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL96.6¢103.62Jan 14
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY9.2¢253.351Jan 14
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL96.3¢24.09Jan 14
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY94.7¢24.097Jan 1
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%20–30%10%30–50%21%50–70%8%70–80%13%80–90%36%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.6%
Win Consistency55.2%
Profit Factor0.30
Drawdown Resilience0.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity29 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$992d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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