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yinyiwang

0x824354...c797cc
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$602
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
1.37
Sortino Ratio
46.36
Max Drawdown
133.3%
ROI
7.1%
Profit Factor
28.85
Kelly Fraction
0.483
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢930Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY2.2¢636.364Feb 24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY2.8¢460Jan 20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.9¢220Jan 14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY4.0¢220Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?SELL99.0¢310Jan 11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?BUY99.3¢310Jan 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY98.4¢313.777Dec 22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢310Dec 14
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢310Dec 10
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.9¢190Dec 8
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.9¢190Dec 5
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?SELL99.1¢310Dec 3
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?BUY99.4¢310Dec 2
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL1.1¢160Dec 1
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY1.3¢160Nov 30
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.3¢310Nov 28
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢310Nov 26
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?SELL0.2¢200Nov 25
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?BUY0.6¢200Nov 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%52%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.8%
Win Consistency32.0%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity46 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,26321d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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